As is to be expected, both Semi-Finals are enormously difficult to call. There is no obvious value in the match betting – but our bet of the round comes in tomorrow’s Man United v Arsenal game.

Manchester United are wobbling, there is no doubt – and though their second half destruction of Tottenham will have been morale boosting it will only paper over the cracks in their previously impenetrable defence. They’ve conceded 13 in their last 9, and with Wes Brown possibly returning tomorrow there could be a further unsettling reshuffle. Arsenal are scoring freely – 2,4,1,3,4 goals scored in their last five games and are in great form – a United clean sheet is by no means guaranteed, and dare we say, unlikely.

Where is the value, then? Against Middlesbrough, Cesc Fabregas played an advanced role as he did to great effect last season, and scored both the Gunners’ goals. Against United, Van Persie is likely to be out and Arshavin is ineligible, so Fabregas could again operate in the ‘hole’ behind the striker (Adebayor). He is available at 16/1 to be first goalscorer – that’s cracking value – and the safe bet is to back him to score anytime, at an equally generous 6/1 with Sporting Bet and Paddy Power.

Man United v Arsenal – Cesc Fabregas to score anytime @ 6/1 (Sporting Bet/PaddyPower) – 1 point