Password Protection Removed 22/09 11.26

As you will have noticed as a Wakuba subscriber, we have focussed on lays this season. This is both because early season form is unreliable and leads to false prices, and because, generally speaking, they offer better value. And it has started to pay dividends – we are coming to the end of a very profitable week. Here are our bets for the weekend – with lays very much the theme again.

Bolton v Stoke

Stoke are a Wakuba favourite – they continue to be underestimated by the bookies, particularly at home, and we were hugey unlucky to miss out on them holding Chelsea last week. They are weaker away – but with their new signings and strong form so far they should have enough to avoid defeat to Bolton side who have yet to convince and were lucky to get a first victory last time out against Portsmouth.

LAY Bolton @ 2.26 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

Southampton v Yeovil

Southampton have struggled massively this season, without a win in their first seven matches. As such it is a mystery why they are chalked up SO short against Yeovil who, while admittedly not the best side in the division, have shown better early season form than the Saints. Southampton might get off the mark in this one – but the price is false.

LAY Southampton @ 1.69 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

Chesterfield v Macclesfield

Another side that are chalked up far too short at home. Chesterfield have not won in their last four league matches, and are struggling a little. Macclesfield have lost only to high flyers Crewe and Rotherham so far, and got a creditable draw against Barnet last time out. Again Chesterfield could win – but again are falsely short and must be laid.

LAY Chesterfield @ 1.74 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

Darlington v Bournemouth

Bournemouth are odds on to win away at Darlington – and that raises an eyebrow in any game in this division. Darlington are winless in the league this season but are unbeaten in their last two home games – and could continue that record against the high flyers, especially as the Cherries have lost two of their last three away.

LAY Bournemouth @ 1.9 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

Morecambe v Notts County

It is with a little trepidation that we oppose Notts County, as they have been irresistable at times. However, at others they have struggled – and Morecambe have a good record against the top sides in the division at home. Another short price that can be laid.

LAY Notts County @ 1.96 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

Password protection removed 16/09 @ 12.05

Champions League and Championship tonight – and it’s the latter where value stands out.

Derby v Barnsley

We backed Barnsley to avoid defeat in Mark Robins’ first game on Saturday, but Watford nicked the odd goal that gave them a narrow win. Now Robins has had more time to work with the players his influence should be felt further, and for a second successive away game we are going to back them to avoid defeat against an out of form home side. Derby have lost their last two matches yet are odds on against the basement boys – Barnsley can overturn those odds and deny Clough a much needed victory.

LAY Derby @ 1.91 (Betfair) 2 point liability

Ipswich v Forest

Ipswich have had a terrible start to the season, with four losses and a draw in their first five. Forest, unbeaten since the opening day, continue to be underrated by the bookies despite an antepost run on them for promotion. They have strengthened significantly and are too long here – more prevalently, Ipswich are far too short.

LAY Ipswich @ 2.3 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

QPR v Palace

Another to finish off a trio of short home lays – QPR are a mediocre side, their only win coming at home to Scunthorpe – and after Neil Warnock laid into his Palace side after their 4-0 defeat to the same side (Scunny) we expect a reaction here.

LAY QPR @ 2.2 (Betfair) – 2 point liability