A value bet to flag up for the freeloaders…

Spurs v Birmingham

The bookies have overreacted massively to Spurs’ start to the season, cutting them from 200/1 to just 30/1. They are rightly favourites to beat Birmingham – but Alex McLeish’s side are well drilled and well organised, and will not be easy to roll over (witness Man Utd’s narrow 1-0 victory over them). Bookmakers are siding with the momentum and favour Spurs for an easy win – they are as short as 4/11, and consequently over 2.5 goals is a miserly 5/8 in places. That leaves some value in the under market – Birmingham’s tight defence could make this difficult, and the 13/11 on Betfair looks appealing.

Under 2.5 goals @ 13/11 (Betfair) – 2 points