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Selections

Sunday: Liverpool v Tottenham

by Wakuba on Jan.08, 2010, under Selections

Another big game for Liverpool as they take on Spurs, who currently occupy fourth place. It’s a tough game and a difficult one to call. But one stat does stand out – and that is that a fit Fernando Torres has a goal record of 50 in 72 starts, so at home, at 13/10, he represents excellent value. Especially if, as rumoured, he has been put through extra training.

Fernando Torres to score anytime for Liverpool against Tottenham @ 13/10 (Expekt) – 2 points

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Europa League Tips

by Wakuba on Dec.17, 2009, under Selections

Everton v BATE

We all know Everton’s struggles this season – they have an injury list as long as Marouane Fellaini’s arm. But they’ve already qualified for the next stage of the Europa league, rendering their game with BATE (who are no mugs, getting two Champions League draws with Juventus last season) a dead rubber. Consequently Moyes has already announced he will be playing a youth/reserve side – and BATE should have more than enough to at least avoid defeat.

LAY Everton @ 1.85 (Betfair) – 2 points liability

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Tottenham v Man City Betting Preview

by Wakuba on Dec.16, 2009, under Selections

Both these sides are dangerous going forward but suspect at the back – each has had a high score draw in recent game (Spurs 2-2 with Everton, Man City 3-3 with Bolton). They are evenly matched, not afraid to attack, and neither want to lose. A scoredraw is on the menu – and we will take 3-3 and 4-4 at tasty odds.

Correct Score 3-3 @ 66/1 (Totesport, Victor Chandler) – 0.5 points

Correct Score 4-4 @ 300/1 (Bet365) – 0.5 points

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Weekend Selections

by Wakuba on Dec.11, 2009, under Selections

Just one this weekend…

Spurs v Wolves

This is roundly expected to be a comprehensive Spurs victory, and it’s difficult to find reasons why not. But how to profit? Scanning the markets, one stands out – and that is corners. If as expected Spurs batter Wolves they will get plenty of corners (expecially with Lennon terrorising down the wing) and Wolves actually get a surprising amount of corners away from home – 6 against Man City, 7 against United, 9 against Sunderland and 5 against Everton.

Over 11 Corners @ 11/10 (SkyBet) – 2 points

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Midweek Selections

by Wakuba on Dec.08, 2009, under Selections, Subscription Content

Wolfsburg v Man Utd

Wolfsburg have been tipped up in many places for this game – but there looks to be a more obvious bet in this game. They are strong going forward, and weak at the back – and everyone knows about Man United’s defensive problems. With Dzeko and Grafite likely to terrorise Ferguson’s two makeshift centre-backs, yet with United still possessing attacking strength, over 2.5 goals looks the play.

Over 2.5 goals @ 5/6 (Widely Available) – 2 points

The Championship

Ipswich are now 8 unbeaten (albeit with 6 draws) but are steadily rising, and at home against struggling Peterborough look decent value at slight odds on. Boro go into their game with Blackpool on a high after smashing five past QPR at the weekend, and around 7/10 is attractive at the Riverside. Finally, tomorrow, Newcastle are in terrific form with six consecutive wins after a slight wobble. It’s difficult to see beyond them taking 3 points from struggling Coventry.

Combining these in a multiple provides the best odds at 5.52 with both Ladbrokes and 888sport.

Ipswich @ 8/11, Boro @ 4/6 and Newcastle @ 10/11 (Ladbrokes and 888Sport) – 2 points

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Weekend Selections

by Wakuba on Dec.04, 2009, under Selections

Blackpool v Barnsley

Mark Robins has done a great job at Barnsley since moving from Rotherham, and they are far from the soft touches they were earlier in the season. Consequently the even money quotes around Blackpool look too short (despite their good home form) and make for an attractive lay.

LAY Blackpool @1.97 (Betfair) – 2 points

Newcastle v Watford

Newcastle are in danger of running away with the Championship, and even at 4/7 look a decent home banker against Watford.

Norwich v Oldham

Norwich are another side on a great run, and come up against an Oldham side that have stopped scoring and started conceding. Again, even at 8/15, there’s value.

Newcastle @ 4/7 and Norwich @ 8/15 (SkyBet) – 2 point double

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Carling Cup

by Wakuba on Dec.01, 2009, under Selections

Man Utd v Tottenham

With United set to name a reserve team and Spurs on the lookout for another trophy, 14/5 looks cracking value on the away side.

Tottenham  @ 14/5 (Paddy Power) – 2 points

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Fulham v Blackburn

by Wakuba on Nov.25, 2009, under Selections

An unpredictable game, this – any one of the three outcomes is possible, particularly considering Fulham’s poor recent form and Blackburn finally finding a result on the road. Considering this, 11/10 is too short on any match eventuality – and that is what a Fulham win is chalked up to be.

LAY Fulham @ 2.18 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

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Tuesday Night Picks

by Wakuba on Nov.24, 2009, under Selections

There are Coca-Cola and Champions League games this midweek, and here are our best selections from them…

Bournemouth v Dagenham and Redbridge

We opposed Bournemouth against Torquay last time out, only for them to get a breakaway clincher with Torquay dominating. Dagenham have been going great guns this season and their recent defeat to Rochdale seems to have inflated their price somewhat – 11/4 seems a little big.

Dagenham @ 11/4 (widely available) – 2 points

Fiorentina v Lyon

A draw suits both of these teams, and in that situation usually represents good value. This is no exception.

Fiorentina v Lyon Draw @ 23/20 (Totesport) – 2 points

Debrecen v Liverpool

In one sense the pressure is off Liverpool here, as they are reliant on a favourable result in the Fiorentina game. However, the number of goals they score in this game directly impacts how many they need in their next game to ensure qualification should it go their way. They will undoubtedly go for it, and if they do, there is a strong possibility they could destroy Debrecen. The prices reflect that unfortunately, the best bet is arguably:

Liverpool -1.5 @ 1.8 (Betfair) – 2 points

Arsenal v Standard Liege

Arsenal’s home record is outstanding, scoring 33 goals in 10 matches so far this season while conceding only seven. Liege are poor away from home, and have only scored three in their last five. This is likely to be a goalfest; we’ll take the same bet as above.

Arsenal – 1.5 @ 1.83 (Betfair) – 2 points

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Wakuba Weekend Selections

by Wakuba on Nov.20, 2009, under Selections

Torquay v Rotherham

League positions are misleading in this one, with Torquay near the bottom and Rotherham near the top. Rotherham are in decline since the departure of Mark Robins, and Torquay are a decent side with a strong home record. They represent excellent value at Plainmoor.

Torquay @ 11/5 (SkyBet) – 2 points

Macclesfield v Bournemouth

Bournemouth’s position is slightly false – with their squad they may well not last the pace. They are always liable to slip up and against a Macclesfield side who aren’t bad at home, opposing them is the way to go.

Macclesfield @ 5/2 (Bet365) – 2 points

Shrewsbury v Bury

Bury are on a great run of form while Shrewsbury are struggling to find the back of the net. On that basis alone around 2/1 looks too big on the away side.

Bury @ 19/10 (Victor Chandler) – 2 points

West Brom v Bristol City

West Brom are a mere five points ahead of Bristol City, which makes the 5/1 on the away side look much too big – especially with their good form and West Brom’s patchiness.

Bristol City @ 5/1 (SkyBet) – 1 point

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