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Fulham v Blackburn

by Wakuba on Nov.25, 2009, under Selections

An unpredictable game, this – any one of the three outcomes is possible, particularly considering Fulham’s poor recent form and Blackburn finally finding a result on the road. Considering this, 11/10 is too short on any match eventuality – and that is what a Fulham win is chalked up to be.

LAY Fulham @ 2.18 (Betfair) – 2 point liability

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Tuesday Night Picks

by Wakuba on Nov.24, 2009, under Selections

There are Coca-Cola and Champions League games this midweek, and here are our best selections from them…

Bournemouth v Dagenham and Redbridge

We opposed Bournemouth against Torquay last time out, only for them to get a breakaway clincher with Torquay dominating. Dagenham have been going great guns this season and their recent defeat to Rochdale seems to have inflated their price somewhat – 11/4 seems a little big.

Dagenham @ 11/4 (widely available) – 2 points

Fiorentina v Lyon

A draw suits both of these teams, and in that situation usually represents good value. This is no exception.

Fiorentina v Lyon Draw @ 23/20 (Totesport) – 2 points

Debrecen v Liverpool

In one sense the pressure is off Liverpool here, as they are reliant on a favourable result in the Fiorentina game. However, the number of goals they score in this game directly impacts how many they need in their next game to ensure qualification should it go their way. They will undoubtedly go for it, and if they do, there is a strong possibility they could destroy Debrecen. The prices reflect that unfortunately, the best bet is arguably:

Liverpool -1.5 @ 1.8 (Betfair) – 2 points

Arsenal v Standard Liege

Arsenal’s home record is outstanding, scoring 33 goals in 10 matches so far this season while conceding only seven. Liege are poor away from home, and have only scored three in their last five. This is likely to be a goalfest; we’ll take the same bet as above.

Arsenal – 1.5 @ 1.83 (Betfair) – 2 points

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Wakuba Weekend Selections

by Wakuba on Nov.20, 2009, under Selections

Torquay v Rotherham

League positions are misleading in this one, with Torquay near the bottom and Rotherham near the top. Rotherham are in decline since the departure of Mark Robins, and Torquay are a decent side with a strong home record. They represent excellent value at Plainmoor.

Torquay @ 11/5 (SkyBet) – 2 points

Macclesfield v Bournemouth

Bournemouth’s position is slightly false – with their squad they may well not last the pace. They are always liable to slip up and against a Macclesfield side who aren’t bad at home, opposing them is the way to go.

Macclesfield @ 5/2 (Bet365) – 2 points

Shrewsbury v Bury

Bury are on a great run of form while Shrewsbury are struggling to find the back of the net. On that basis alone around 2/1 looks too big on the away side.

Bury @ 19/10 (Victor Chandler) – 2 points

West Brom v Bristol City

West Brom are a mere five points ahead of Bristol City, which makes the 5/1 on the away side look much too big – especially with their good form and West Brom’s patchiness.

Bristol City @ 5/1 (SkyBet) – 1 point

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Thinking outside the Box(ing)

by Wakuba on Nov.13, 2009, under Selections

A rare foray into boxing this week, as Manny Pacquiao takes on Miguel Cotto. On face value the two boxers seem to be fairly evenly matched, and as such the 7/2 on Cotto to win by KO, TKO or Disqualification looks too big. Based solely on that, it’s worth a small interest.

Cotto to win by KO, TKO or Disqualification @ 7/2 (Widely Available) – 1 point

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Barnsley v Sheffield United

by Wakuba on Nov.09, 2009, under Selections

Mark Robins has had a marked effect on Barnsley, hauling them off the bottom to the heady heights of 18th, where they are now level on points with Sheffield United. The Blades have a horrendous injury list:

Kyle Walker damaged ankle ligaments against Newcastle and is out, while a calf strain has shorn Blackwell of the services of Jordan Stewart.

Gary Naysmith, Derek Geary (both knee), Richard Cresswell (ribs), Jamie Ward (broken wrist), Nick Montgomery (knee), Lee Williamson (back), Andrew Davies (knee), Andrew Taylor (thigh) and Paddy Kenny (drugs ban)

And considering the recent form, Barnsley at 13/8 look a solid home bet.

Barnsley @ 13/8 (Boylesports, William Hill) – 2 points

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Weekend Selections

by Wakuba on Nov.06, 2009, under Selections

Apologies for the hiatus… we’re back with selections from this weekend’s football:

Sheffield Wednesday v QPR

Wednesday bounced back well from a humiliating defeat to Watford by claiming a draw against Bristol City with a squad depleted by swine flu. There is now hot competition for places, and with their home record QPR face a tough task to take all three points, and look underpriced at 6/4 – particularly as they have suffered a dip in form and results.

LAY QPR @ 2.62 (2 point liability)


Reading v Ipswich

A basement battle at the Majedski, with both sides coming into this after a rare win – Reading’s being their first in five, and Ipswich (finally) getting their first of the season. Ipswich’s position is somewhat misleading, and they should kick on after getting their first 3 points. Reading are flimsy and struggle to score goals, so the 21/10 quotes from Boyles and Coral have some appeal.

Ipswich @ 21/10 (Boyles, Coral) – 1 point


Chelsea v Man Utd

Arguably the biggest game o the season so far, and with United shakey and unconvincing, a Chelsea victory is on the cards. They are on a great run of form, scoring goals aind winning, and unless United really pull out something special they will be up against it. Although Chelsea look a little short at first glance, all things considered it still represents value.

Chelsea @ 11/10 (Ladbrokes) – 1 point

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Protected: Tuesday Night Championship

by Wakuba on Oct.20, 2009, under Selections, Subscription Content

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Weekend Multiple

by Wakuba on Oct.16, 2009, under Selections

Four of the ‘Big Six’ have tough away fixtures this weekend, and there are reasons to oppose all of them.

Sunderland v Liverpool

Sunderland will by buoyed by their performance against Man Utd, and Liverpool have injury worries over Torres, Gerrard, and Kuyt. Obviously without those key players they are easier to oppose but even with them, against an impressive Sunderland side, odds on is too short.

LAY Liverpool @ 1.98 (Betfair) – 1 point liability

Portsmouth v Spurs

Pompey got their first win of the season last time out, and with the stability brought to the club with new funding, should be on a high. Furthermore, if there is an side they will want a result against, it’s Spurs – several ex-Pompey players are in their ranks (likewise the other way round in fact) and of course there is the ‘Arry factor. The whole club will be set on preventing him taking three point from Fratton Park, and again at odds on there is value opposing them.

LAY Spurs @ 1.91 (Betfair) – 1 point liability

Aston Villa v Chelsea

Villa have a strong home record against Chelsea over the past few seasons, and have already beaten one of the Big Four this season (Liverpool, at Anfield) proving they have the mettle. After an international break there is always some uncertainty, and another odds on quote about Chelsea again looks too short.

LAY Chelsea @ 1.84 (Betfair) – 1 point liability

Wigan v Man City

Wigan are somewhat of a bogey team for Man City, with Mark Hughes’ men winning only one of the last eight league meetings between the two. Of course Man City are a somewhat different proposition nowadays, but do not merit the heaviest odds on price of all the Premier League teams.

LAY Man City @ 1.82 (Betfair) – 1 point liability

We’ll also have a little play on the multiples market with these four – Betfair’s LAY multiples market offer the following prices:

Liverpool @ 2.04

Spurs @ 1.98

Chelsea @ 1.89

Man City @ 1.88

Four trebles there, we’ll play 0.25 points on each.

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Weekend Internationals

by Wakuba on Oct.09, 2009, under Selections

With qualification finely poised, we’ve picked out a couple of mutually suitable draw from the weekend fixtures:

Denmark v Sweden

Portugal are in grave danger of not qualifying, and a draw between these two Scandivanian countries pushes Ronaldo further away and each of them closer. Whether or not there is any geographical collusion, a result that suits both parties has to be likely, and at 9/4 is worth backing.

Denmark v Sweden Draw @ 9/4 (Widely available) – 1 point

Ireland v Italy

A draw for Italy would be enough for them to qualify, and no-one is better at playing for one. Ireland would be virtually in the play-offs with that result too – again it suits both parties.

Ireland v Italy Draw @ 2/1 (Betfred) – 1 point

And we’ll take a small double – Betfred go best price on both (9/4 and 2/1.

Draw Double @ 9.75 (Betfred) – 0.5 points

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Results… and Follow us on Twitter

by Wakuba on Oct.05, 2009, under News

We’re on a mini-run at the moment, with our lay of Notts County at the weekend following two midweek winners.

It’s about time we turned things round after the consistent downward trend prompted by a (largely disastrous) close season flirtation with cricket.

Make sure you don’t miss our hot streak by following us on Twitter – @wakuba.

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